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Aug 11, 2022Liked by Paolo Belcastro

> I have recently been more focused on measuring the value of what I do by evaluating the outcomes than the process.

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> I like this approach because, on the surface, it allows for smarter work by focusing on quality instead of quantity.

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> Goldsmith underlines, though, that randomness has such a weight on the outcome of our actions that focusing only on impact presents a high potential for unhappiness.

So true. I found some of Annie Duke's writing useful from this point of view. For example, the NFL coach story from Thinking in Bets. The coach took the right decision from a probabilistic point of view, it just so happen the opponent team got lucky and the play didn't work out for the—I butchered the whole story, but I hope you get the point.

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Hi Paolo, nice post! With interest, I read your section about how you split and then recombined the sites where you publish your work. Although my site is fairly new I am considering some splitting and division because some of my main topic areas are very different from each other. But I need to consider all pros and cons for doing this. so thanks.

Also, the arrival fallacy article is very good and it was timely for me to see it as well.

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